Ea Kentucky
W-L: (11-21) PR = 94.1909Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 A MIDWA **-60 1110 H We Kentucky CUSA (18-14, 95.7) 79-87 1112 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 62-92 1118 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 78-93 1122 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 83-95 1124 H No Kentucky HL (20-14, 95.3) 71-82 1129 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 77-83 1203 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 78-89 1206 A IUEAS **-67 1210 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 68-59 1213 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 69-79 1217 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 62-59 1221 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 57-88 101 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 89-91 103 H We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 76-88 108 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 88-80 110 A Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 79-75 116 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 72-74 117 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 89-69 122 H No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 85-87 124 H Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 76-81 128 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 82-90 131 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 81-90 205 A Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 76-74 207 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) **-88 211 H Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 61-75 215 H No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 78-84 218 A We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 81-80 221 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 95-92 225 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 79-96 228 H Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 77-80 304 H Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 76-92
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1110 H We Kentucky 79-87 -8 -1 -0.53
1112 H Vanderbilt 62-92 -30 -4 0.00
1118 H Kent State 78-93 -15 -2 0.00
1122 H Mercer 83-95 -12 -1 -1.00
1124 H No Kentucky 71-82 -11 -1 -0.93
1129 H Wofford 77-83 -6 -1 -1.19
1203 H Illinois St 78-89 -11 -2 0.00
1210 A Ea Illinois 68-59 9 0 1.89
1213 H Miami (OH) 69-79 -10 -3 0.00
1217 A Jacksonv St 62-59 3 -1 + 2.83
1221 H Wichita St 57-88 -31 -2 0.00
101 H Queens Univ 89-91 -2 -1 -0.78
103 H We Georgia 76-88 -12 0 -1.79
108 A No Alabama 88-80 8 0 1.66
110 A Ce Arkansas 79-75 4 -1 + 3.30
116 H Austin Peay 72-74 -2 -1 -0.68
117 A Bellarmine 89-69 20 0 + 2.25
122 H No Florida 85-87 -2 1 - -2.66
124 H Jacksonville 76-81 -5 0 -1.93
128 H Austin Peay 82-90 -8 -1 -0.68
131 H Ce Arkansas 81-90 -9 -1 -0.72
205 A Fl Gulf Co 76-74 2 -1 + 2.55
207 A Stetson **-88 12 0 + 2.04
211 H Lipscomb 61-75 -14 -1 -1.00
215 H No Alabama 78-84 -6 0 - -2.36
218 A We Georgia 81-80 1 0 1.23
221 A Bellarmine 95-92 3 0 + 2.25
225 H Queens Univ 79-96 -17 -1 -0.78
228 H Lipscomb 77-80 -3 -1 -1.00
304 H Stetson 76-92 -16 0 -1.98
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 122 H No Florida 85-87 -2 1 - -2.66 215 H No Alabama 78-84 -6 0 - -2.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1217 A Jacksonv St 62-59 3 -1 + 2.83 110 A Ce Arkansas 79-75 4 -1 + 3.30 117 A Bellarmine 89-69 20 0 + 2.25 205 A Fl Gulf Co 76-74 2 -1 + 2.55 207 A Stetson **-88 12 0 + 2.04 221 A Bellarmine 95-92 3 0 + 2.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H We Kentucky (18-14, 95.7) 79-87 -4.23 3.24 -0.01 1.10 -2.34
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 62-92 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 1.10 -0.76
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 78-93 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 83-95 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 H No Kentucky (20-14, 95.3) 71-82 -4.63 2.85 -0.01 1.10 -2.55
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 77-83 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.10 -2.69
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 78-89 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 1.10 -1.97
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 68-59 -5.82 1.65 0.01 1.10 3.66
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 69-79 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.10 -1.38
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 62-59 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.10 5.72
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 57-88 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.10 -1.80
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 89-91 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.10 -2.47
3 H We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 76-88 -5.49 1.99 -0.01 1.10 -3.02
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 88-80 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.10 3.14
3 A Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 79-75 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.10 6.75
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 72-74 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.10 -2.42
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 89-69 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.10 4.44
3 H No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 85-87 -6.36 1.12 -0.01 1.10 -3.50
3 H Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 76-81 -5.63 1.85 -0.01 1.10 -3.10
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 82-90 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.10 -2.42
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 81-90 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.44
3 A Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 76-74 -5.17 2.30 0.01 1.10 5.09
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) **-88 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.10 3.98
3 H Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 61-75 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 H No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 78-84 -6.06 1.42 -0.01 1.10 -3.34
3 A We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 81-80 -5.49 1.99 0.01 1.10 4.40
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 95-92 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.10 4.44
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 79-96 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.10 -2.47
3 H Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 77-80 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.10 -2.59
3 H Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 76-92 -5.68 1.80 -0.01 1.10 -3.13
------
-9.96
|
winning pts = 41.6339 losing points = -51.5923
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------